Meeting up with the speakers the night before our
annual conference in Doha I enjoyed a candid discussion with men who together
look after literally tens of billions of dollars in various projects that will
decide how one of the fastest-growing cities in the world will ultimately take
shape. Half way through the evening one of the guys quipped that he hoped that
I was not recording our conversation. It struck me that this was one of these
moments where we could look back years from now and without a sound recording,
no one would be able to recall and much less admit even to ourselves, if any of
our predictions about the future would prove to be flawed.
It is fascinating that our minds are almost incapable
of allowing us to remember any instances when we were wrong. At best, we may be
able to admit to having been misinformed and been led astray in our thinking.
It’s a self-defence mechanism that even has us making up completely false
memories to reframe our mistakes so that they make sense and serve a purpose.
No one, not even the best and brightest, are immune
from false memories. Hillary Clinton claimed on numerous occasions with
apparent sincerity that she remembered landing in Bosnia under sniper fire and
running with heads down to the car for cover. When footage was found that could
jog her memory of her very relaxed and peaceful arrival that day, she claimed
to have misspoken.
Even worse than altering memories from our past, we
suffer from similar handicaps in our failure to correctly interpret our present
reality. Every day we are often unable to see plain facts, causal links or lack
thereof, to anything that runs counter to our beliefs.
The TV where I sit in our open landscape office is
constantly turned to CNN where for months now I have been force-fed Piers
Morgan speaking on the US gun problem. For perspective: there are an estimated
300 million guns in America that won’t just disappear. Statistically, if all
guns are considered equally likely to cause deaths, to reduce just one fatality
you would have to retrieve 10,000 guns. Secondly, more than half of all non
self-inflicted gun fatalities are constrained to ethnic minorities in
circumstances involving illegal drugs, i.e., a minuscule proportion of the US
population.
Yet, these uncomfortable observations, along with the
groups that are suffering the most, are simply ignored and excluded from the
discussion altogether! Instead, the problem is presented as impacting everyone
equally. Consider that swimming pools in back yards kill more children than
guns do. There you have a direct problem with an obvious solution that would
see immediate and clearly measurable results. Yet, I’ve never seen a campaign
against private swimming pools.
I am not using this sensitive and controversial topic
to make a statement on either guns or swimming pools but to demonstrate how
what we deem as morally right is often inextricable from what we perceive as
being factually correct. By the same token, our concept of ‘wrong’ can distort
our thinking, as our minds often fail to distinguish between being factually and
logically incorrect with something that is morally wrong or unjust.
Despite living in an information age where the average
person has attended college and consumes hours of news each day, we are more
incapable than ever to apply rational and critical analysis. Therefore, an idea
that is presented as morally normative in the eyes of the public can be sold
off on that basis alone as scientific truth.
The scariest part is that studying how blind spots
function doesn’t help a person that much in trying to avoid them in his or her
own thinking. My guess, and safest bet, is that if you instinctively feel that
something is right and the people around you generally share in this feeling
with you, assume that you are suffering from some form of delusion or another!
Clearly, Oscar Wilde was onto something when he said: ‘Whenever people agree
with me I always feel I must be wrong’.
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