Friday, June 7, 2013

Innovation Overreach - How Increasing Complexity calls for Greater Simplification

 

I lived in a villa in the Dubai Marina with an ICT system that was mind-boggling. Cameras, sensors and screens allowed control and monitoring via the internet. Yet none of it could be made to work. It was not even possible to adjust the temperature, which was stuck at 17°C. That is what you tend to get when you go for cutting-edge technology branded ‘smart’.

The term ‘innovation’ is used so much that it has practically become meaningless. At the same time, it is billed as the Holy Grail for overcoming every modern challenge. Whenever you hear innovation called for, it is worthwhile to question how, when and to whom it is beneficial.

Innovation is not just misrepresented in the consumer market. Consider the F-35 fighter jet, with an estimated lifetime cost of $1,5tr (!). After seven years of continuous delays, it is still not militarily operational. In short, the plane has simply been made too complicated to work as it should. For example, there are 24 million lines of computer code just to fly it. There are few systems in the world more complex than this.

Both public and private organisations can fall victim of engaging in initiatives and routines either unrelated to or that directly impede their supposed end goal and purpose. On all levels, employees are often compensated in a way to make them neither care or acknowledge this disconnect between their mission and their efforts towards achieving it.

Malcolm Gladwell argued in ‘The Tipping Point’ that, when any division grows beyond the approximate size of 30 people working together on a particular project, the links between them become too complex for the minds of individual members to process effectively, with efficiency suffering as a consequence.

In line with this logic, I believe that, when an organisation grows beyond a certain size, group belonging becomes too diffuse and diluted for members to relate to and value. When shared interests and a sense of joint responsibility disintegrate, we become willing to enrich ourselves at the expense of, and corresponding harm to, the collective. As such, I would argue that the end product of communism and capitalism is, ironically, similar in terms of the effect on organisational behaviour.

Why we fall down this slippery slope in the first place is, I believe, due to our relentless pursuit of economies of scale. Somehow, how large organisations adopt many disadvantages of scale is usually suppressed. For instance, how there can be a sharply diminishing rate of return for each additional employee once a certain threshold in size and scope is passed. Look at recent innovation at Microsoft, Sony or Nokia. Though many believe otherwise, it is not as simple as a case of not being hip enough to attract the best people. They have attracted too many!

Nonetheless, the determining success factor for increasing the wellbeing of both our lives and businesses will depend on innovation that can solve actual needs and increase efficiencies. This is different from innovation as a gimmick to fuel commerce and be able to charge a premium.

Innovation is about finding the inflection point of the greatest possible utility at the highest possible simplicity. It is here where you can see the relationship between seemingly disparate works of genius like Beethoven’s Ninth, the iPhone or the T-Ford.

From waste management and debilitating traffic and air pollution, all will no doubt require as much in terms of resolute determination as technological innovation in order to overcome.

In aiming for the goal of as simple as possible, but not simpler, it can be a challenge to resist the temptation of this wrong sort of innovation. That is, the type of innovation that allows the most resource-intense and technologically-sophisticated organizations to unlearn even the most basic abilities, such as how to make an airplane fly or how to control a thermostat. While today’s problems are ever more complex, their solutions will remain focused on simplification.









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