Sunday, October 7, 2012

Setting standards - Qatar’s 2022 World Cup build-up paves the way for responsible government


link to online article 



These last few weeks have seen an intense news-cycle. Despite being at a critical juncture and in a crisis that could be described as a freefall, we focus squarely on matters that absolutely will not matter, or help us, in the long run to improve our situation in any way. We are seemingly tranquilized by our insatiable thirst for spectacle and scandal. I am talking about the dramatic video footage of fringe mobs deceptively portrayed as representative of mainstream Arabs. Obscene paparazzi photographs of the Royal family. Religious-like fervour over a minor upgrade to the iPhone. The US election and the catchy one-liners from the candidates, often putdowns of their opponents, that seemingly make out the foundation of the parties’ entire political platforms. It reminds me of Winston Churchill saying that ”The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter”. If he was alive today, he would have sadly realised just how profoundly accurate his insight and wisdom was when looking at the state of the world today.

When historians look back on today’s newscasts 20 years from now, they will probably find it hard to explain the world’s collective hype, and focusing on matters that were extremely trivial in a larger context. The job of the media should be to make what are important matters interesting. Not the opposite way around. One could deduce that what the West hails as freedom of speech is now no more than the packaging of cheap entertainment. The content of both are equally dictated by financial incentives that prioritise the option deemed to sucker in the biggest possible audience. Debate, analysis and independent thought have been boiled down to being either for or against irrelevant matters presented on grounds that are purely emotional, with the personalities of news anchors being the primary attraction. Touching on actual issues is conveniently avoided, if not completely ignored. Seeing how easily the public is distracted and swayed, I am beginning to doubt how highly the prized cornerstones of democracy are actually held, much less practiced anymore, in the West.

I am beginning to feel more and more that Qatar, with Al Jazeera, is leading the way with its pioneering role of unbiased news coverage. It is one of the few remaining world media outlets able to resist the temptation to view current affairs and political debate as merely one of many forms of entertainment, alongside American Idol and Keeping up with the Kardashians. 

Working for a publishing house in this region I admit to feeling that it is liberating to be granted the privilege to both express and to hold opinions openly without feeling the social pressure of self-censorship through political correctness and polarisation, which stigmatises any kind of critical thinking of the motivations of the leaders in the West. In the ongoing battle that has erupted over the recent Youtube video and paparazzi photos regarding what constitutes freedom of speech, we need to ask what the minimum standards of dignity and decency are that should reasonably be expected from both the media and society as a whole. The media being void of standards is not to the advantage of its people or society, and the advantage will fall on those societies that can set standards and dare to uphold them.

A great responsibility of a state, not least a direct measure of its competence to lead, is the ability it has to express a vision and maintain the aspiration to work towards it. While the rest of the world appears lost as to where it is going, what its plans are and what it wants, it is inspiring to be part of the exciting growth taking place in Qatar with its 2030 Vision and the 2022 World Cup to celebrate a better society.

The company you keep - Profit is a reflection of customer and employee satisfaction

http://www.constructionweekonline.com/article-18866-the-company-you-keep/




It was amusing to witness the recent fiasco involving Apple whereby screen shots from the new iPhone maps application were missing some major cities, or misplaced them entirely. Apple has always been known for its quality control down to the tiniest detail. This makes it all the more surprising as to how it was possible a mishap on this scale could strike this company.

It tends to be the same story whenever painfully obvious or embarrassing mistakes are uncovered in the larger type of corporations. Those in senior positions that presumably have the job to know what is going on were staggeringly unaware or cannot remember anything.

I believe that incentives are the main culprit that almost always explains such inane missteps. More precisely, the seed of most systemic failure is when the self-interest of individuals is misaligned with that of the organisation as a whole.

When organisations grow too large, individuals can easily become exceedingly concerned about hitting narrowly defined KPIs that prioritise cost-savings at the expense of the overall quality of the product or service. Outperforming fellow managers of other divisions becomes more important than wanting to see the company outperform its competitors on the market.
In such work environments, no one becomes willing to take on responsibility for a problem or dedicate the needed resources from their budgets in order to have it resolved. Sometimes, even associating yourself with a specific problem by pointing it out and making suggestions can potentially cost you your job.

Making a career today is in no small part about having the skill to disassociate oneself from any direct contribution to the creative process so as to be able to skirt accountability, if any is needed, following any shortcomings making their appearance.
I experienced an extreme example of this mindset a few weeks back when I called a company that had apparently institutionalised this approach in its business model. That is, creating a seeming divide between individual employees as for to their responsibility and authority, and the accountability of the company.

Being unable to redeem an internet voucher for a meal at a restaurant as it had been shut down, I was informed that a refund was impossible as the computer system did not permit one to be issued.
After two days of threatening to come to their offices in person and taking all kinds of action against both the company and its employees individually over its fraudulent business practices, they reluctantly credited me with the amount in question. I feel that we have a collective responsibility to not allow corporations to be faceless or unaccountable, or to make themselves unreachable when it comes to immoral business practices like having armies of abused workers in factories and call centres under the guise of outsourcing to convenient offshore locations.

To any student of European history it is an early warning when individuals justify illegal or immoral actions with the argument of “I am just following orders”. The same goes when you hear that companies exist for the purpose of creating profits for their shareholders. Companies are rewarded with profits for offering value to their customers and employees. It is not designed to be the opposite way around, with companies rewarded for exploiting clients and employees!

Business by means of deception, as in misrepresenting quality and delivery, is not how capitalism works to create wealth and better societies. When capitalism functions as it is supposed to, it is a safety valve that ensures that only the companies that deliver an acceptable value proposition to both customers and employees will survive. The rest get cleaned out.

This is what we are seeing yet again around the world as companies will ultimately have precisely the employees and, with it, the share price that they deserve.

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Perception is not Reality

Our upcoming conference, “Building Towards 2022” is taking place on 10 April in Doha. Topics to be discussed include cooling of stadia with solar energy and the overhauling of the city’s infrastructure, including the metro network.

To be delivered in less than a decade, these mega projects will have to overcome constraints in time, available resources and finding solutions with technologies that do not yet exist. The extent of complexities in collaborating in the build-up to 2022 cannot be underestimated.

A key success factor in all projects is the ability to allow the best ideas to be heard and taken on. The challenge is to know who to listen to and distinguishing what is reasonable and what is not.

A major pitfall for any decision maker is to be influenced by group dynamics. Even the most critical individual can be lured into believing that the most charismatic speaker with the most optimistic outlook also has the best ideas. When irrational arguments are left unquestioned and gain broad acceptance, the gap between desired and actual reality becomes unbridgeable and failure becomes inevitable.

The big question is if and how we can learn to better resist making irrational decisions and hold onto insane beliefs that are based on disastrous miscalculations. Having an awareness of how we listen is a good start.

While schools teach reading and writing from the day one, little emphasis is put on learning to listen. In a book released this month, “Power Listening: Mastering the Most Critical Business Skill of All”, Bernard Ferrari outlines interesting stereotypes of bad listening habits to avoid, and which are worth being aware of.

A few of his examples worth mentioning include: The Opinionator who listens primarily to determine whether or not his ideas conform to what he already knows to be true. A trait is the tendency to start sentences with “Listen . . .” and to end them with “. . . right?”

The Preambler is best typified by TV hosts who steer conversations with how they frame the analysis of any information and ask leading questions to produce the desired answers they are seeking.
The Perseverator appears to be engaged in productive dialogue but never advances the conversation. He is simply reiterating the same points and merely rephrasing what is already known. While wanting to seem wise and balanced he is really just holding everyone back.

Answer Man is a person who starts spouting solutions before he even has a clear understanding what the problem at hand is. In contrast to the Opinionator, who is simply just certain that his view is the correct one, the Answer Man is driven by a desire to impress and be seen as the smartest person in the room.

The Pretender is someone who shows his engagement by nodding at all the right moments and might even finish your sentences to show that he is on the same wave length and understands where you are coming from. People belonging to this last group often show a blanket of false empathy to effectively manoeuvre and advance an agenda.

Any inconvenience of accountability is thwarted by never formally agreeing with anything, merely expressing a cordial understanding for everyone.

It can sometimes seem that many people’s ability to listen diminishes the higher one moves up the corporate ladder. A reason may be that, in many cases inexperienced managers will see listening as showing uncertainty and that doubt is interpreted as weakness.

Yet, whether you are an intern or a CEO, stopping to remind oneself once in a while that your perception is not reality can be a valuable lesson to learn, no matter whether you are at the top or the bottom of the pile.
Oscar Wendel is the conference manager for Construction Week.

Recipe for success - Oscar Wendel explains which markets and projects to pursue as well as how and who to partner with?


When I hear arguments that the abundant resources available is a guarantee for the success of a project, “they are just going to throw money at it”, it makes me smile inside. Often, access to bountiful resources is an arbitrary indicator for predicting success. Throughout the twentieth century, the typical recipe for success of both companies and nations
has included a situation where limited resources precipitated resourcefulness and increased efficiency – simply doing things smarter. Yet, if managed correctly, access to money and resources is a tremendous enabler for any endeavour. Knowing how this is done is the key to success.

On this question there is no lack of experts. The study of success has become a cult. Books and seminars by management and self-help gurus, along with biographies about, or by, corporate leaders, are referred to as if they were religious truths. The romanticised view is of an individual recognising a need in the marketplace and assembling the right team to carry out the idea. The books portray these steps as seemingly unremarkable when broken down, and completely possible for any entrepreneurial person on the face of the earth to replicate, granted they have enough can-do spirit. While many of these books have plenty of wisdom to divulge, for the
most part, there are limits to the lessons we can learn and apply from how the world’s biggest multinationals are run.

It is much more meaningful to study the cause of their failure. Not to mention that it is cause for more amusement. In contrast to success, failure is more often said to be the result of the person’s own making, rather than having been outmaneuvered by any competitors or tripped up by other surrounding factors.

We all carry with us the seeds of our own ultimate demise. The trick is not letting them take root. I reflected on this after interviewing the renowned architect Professor Albert Speer last week as he stressed the importance of having an awareness that the costliest errors often made are at the beginning of a project - discovered too
late to remedy easily. It is easy to forget how the primary assumptions we make in terms of a situation and use as a basis to plan can turn out completely void and fundamentally unfounded.

For instance, market dynamics can suddenly change, as can prerequisites we took for granted and saw as fundamental to the viability of projects and products. Remember Microsoft’s megaproject Encarta, which was going to become the be all and end all of encyclopedias, to be written by an army by the best and the brightest scholars. Who would have guessed the volunteer model of Wikipedia, with random members of the public
contributing their knowledge practically unchecked, would make Microsoft’s endeavour obsolete? The same went for the business model of web browsers like Netscape or the music download site Napster. Both were valued at billions, to only moments later be worth close to nothing and barely remembered.

The continuously escalating expectations on developers and contractors in the region to deliver on
ever-more ambitious mega-projects in record time increases the risks that many assumptions being made today will turn out to have been wrong. Some will be of a technical nature, but many will be as much about natural instinct. Which markets and projects to pursue, how and who to partner with?

There is no silver bullet. While sticking to the old and tried may minimise risks avoid short-term failure, it may eventually leave you overtaken by competitors. The only road to achievement will inevitably lead
past many failures, and will require substantial risk to attain.

Young Jeddah - The destinies of Middle Eastern cities are taking shape alongside their changing demographics.

Young Jeddah


Oscar Wendel , April 8th, 2012
Having held conferences in Saudi Arabia since 2009, it was particularly satisfying for Construction Week to return last week to welcome the Mayor to present the opening keynote address at the Jeddah Expansion 2012 conference held at the Park Hyatt.

With its kilometre-tall Kingdom Tower project, the world’s eyes are on Jeddah as the historical city is transforming into a modern metropolis.

The extent of the overall complexities involved with real-estate development in Jeddah cannot be understated. These range from the planning stages of understanding the needs of, and best supporting, the potential of the population to managing the diversity of foreign professionals and labourers needed to deliver on the rapid urban growth required.

We are living in a time and in a region experiencing enormous leaps forward, and it is fascinating to be a witness to these ongoing historical shifts from the perspective of the construction sector.
In the various panel discussions between representatives from government and developers and contractors at the conference, it became increasingly clear to me just how closely linked are the challenges of expanding urban environments and social policy making.

The joint decisions and projects undertaken today by the construction and real-estate sectors, from architects to urban planners and engineers, will impact the competiveness of the nation in ways that cannot be precisely measured or completely understood today.

Urban design and infrastructure development shapes societies at their core by how they empower the people in creating the best circumstances, environment and opportunities. What is built, as well as how it is built, ultimately impacts lifestyles, industries, public health and even the national identity of a people.

Look only at how the US has been transformed since the 1950s with the car and the development of road infrastructure that connected towns and communities and lead the way to the ‘mall’ culture. It can even be argued that these decisions had greater influence on US culture and society than any ideology or political leader.

Clearly, real-estate development is about meeting the needs of a nation’s evolving demographics. An oft-quoted fact on this point is that the majority of the population in Saudi Arabia under 25.
A big question at the moment is how to meet the needs for their housing when they start their own families.

Similar challenges face much of the region in terms of this predominance of youth in the demographic profile. With the Arab Spring having seen enormous masses of young men rising up, it solidifies the impression of a gigantic youth bulge with increasing demands.

It was therefore surprising to read a recent op-ed piece in The New York Times entitled ‘The Fertility Implosion’, in which David Brooks highlights the mysteriously little noticed decline in birth rates across much of the Arab world. For instance, Saudi Arabia has seen a decline of nearly 60% in the last three decades – among the fastest declines in recorded history.

These figures are culled from a recent report from the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) that notes the “widely perceived notion that Muslim societies are especially resistant to embarking upon the path of demographic and familial change that has transformed population profiles in Europe, North America, and other areas.

In reality, however, fertility levels are falling dramatically […] traditional marriage patterns and living arrangements are undergoing tremendous change.”

As cities across the Middle East are expanding, their destinies are taking shape alongside their changing demographics. With this in mind, it is well worth considering that the cities being built will have to take into account the needs and demands of many future generations – needs that are guaranteed to continue to change substantially over the decades ahead where, like most of Europe, the challenge will be more focused on ageing pensioners rather than the restless youth.

Young Jeddah

Aiding capitalism - Critics of Capitalism Ignore Development Potential

Aiding Caitalism




Aiding capitalism

Seeing the latest newscasts of civilian protests in connection with the recent NATO Summit in Chicago, and with the political elections around Europe, it is sad and confusing to see the public gather under the banner of deriding capitalism.
How can it be that capitalism’s track record over hundreds of years is immediately questioned after only a few years of stagnant growth? And this is following decades of the fastest worldwide increase of wealth creation in history!
The recent protests bear eerie similarities with the Live 8 concerts in the summer of 2005, held in eight cities around the world simultaneously. The masses gathered to espouse their collective ‘wisdom’ on economic policy to pressure the world's leaders in connection with the G8 meeting being held. The message was largely the same as it is today; increase aid dependency and offer broad debt relief. Only that time it was to Africa.

Ironically, I think Africa’s long history of aid dependency can serve as valuable lessons for the European Union now as it is bartering more loans to save bankrupt countries.
Dambisa Moyo, who Time magazine listed among the world’s 100 most influential people of 2009, stated the following in an interview in connection with the release of her book Dead Aid: “In 60 years we have had over $1tn in aid go to Africa [...] In the 1970s, Africa had 10% of its population living in poverty; today that number is over 70%."

The same economic mechanisms apply to Africa as to Europe, but are either ignored or misunderstood in the mass indulgence of the public’s feel-good activism.
No matter how well-intentioned, obstructing the disruptive forces of entrepreneurialism that capitalism promotes tends to hamper innovation and job creation.

The economist Joseph Schumpeter popularised the term ‘Creative Destruction’ to describe a process where economic values and power structures built up by previous companies and labourers are destroyed to make room for something better.

The alternative to this continuous rejuvenation is an economy that stagnates from participants’ priorities being focused on protecting privileges in existing hierarchies.
Yet, wealth and welfare of a people is not guaranteed merely from establishing democratic representation and principles of free-market capitalism. It is more a matter of what priorities a nation will choose to pursue and its culture to promote.

Take Britain, for example, which has shifted from efficiently allocating resources and focus that resulted in the invention of photography, television and the computer.

These technologies laid the framework for the knowledge, media and digital sectors, possibly the most profitable industries today. But that was all well over half a century ago now.
Today I cannot think of a single recent innovation coming out of Great Britain.

The focus seems to have shifted firmly from nurturing the world’s most ingenious engineers to educating the swankiest bankers and lawyers, all with the world’s best remuneration packages.
Considering that some of its largest banks have either collapsed or been outright nationalised in order to survive, I am skeptical about the value and job creation that these professions have contributed overall in comparison to its legacy of scientists and engineers.

In Moyo’s harsh critique of aid she highlights how it primarily supports the lifestyles of 500,000 people working in the aid industry, with most money going to salaries for Westerners. The little money that reaches Africans is siphoned off by the corrupt dictators that they inadvertently help to stay in power as a consequence.

Reflecting on the arguments she posits, I can perversely see Africa’s present aid situation as a metaphor for the economic actors in the West.

Europe’s countless EU and government representatives and bankers holding cushy and secure jobs are the aid workers. And the dictators are the top one percent owning all the wealth in society.

Oscar Wendel is conference manager for Construction Week.

Saturday, April 14, 2012

China on the Horizon - Is the bubble about to burst in China’s economic boom?

See digital edition online Page 24:
http://edition.pagesuite-professional.co.uk/launch.aspx?referral=other&pnum=&refresh=2i1M0Cq6Qy71&EID=59e53c92-e4bb-4aeb-9e1d-62df4beae879&skip=


This time last year, the ArabSpring was in full swing with rebels in Libya showing that not even Ghadaffi was impervious to the winds of change. With the back-drop of RPG launchers fired from the back of pick-up trucks, and the leaders of the West locked in heated debate over the support or non-support of a no-fly zone enforced by NATO, there seemed to be little that would be able to overtake the headlines in those first weeks of March
last year.

That all changed on the morning of March 11th when everything became
secondary to the news of that a vast tract of Japans east coast had been hit by
an enormous tsunami that triggered a national nuclear calamity at Fukushima,
and killed more than 19,000 people. 

Into our third month of 2012 we are again caught up in crisis coverage, trying to avert a meltdown of the Euro and a new flare-up with Iran. Somehow, I cant help feeling that we may again get unpleasantly surprised by something around the corner.

Last week the World Bank issued the China 2030 Report, recommending reforms towards a freer economy by turning state-owned companies into commercial enterprises. The report states: “China could postpone reforms and risk the possibility of an economic crisis in the future or it could implement reforms
proactively.

This, along with other sporadic news reports of an impending slowdown for China makes me fear what a sudden sharp downturn would entail. China connects the world economy like no other nation. It is the worlds factory with its cheap labour, a guarantor of the US dollar with its holdings of US treasury bonds, and upholding the prices of every commodity from Australia and Africa to
South America. The implications of a hard landing for China would be difficult to predict. Theres no doubt it would affect the political stability, both domestically and internationally, of the country and impact deeply on world markets. The national security and outlook for states that have grown ever more dependant on Chinese trade and investment will also be hit.

A challenge for maintaining growth lies in part in the artificiality of Chinas economy. Government mega projects in infrastructure along with state-owned companies in banking, energy, telecom, health care and technology sectors, account for about 40% of the countrys GDP. The 2030 report from the World Bank goes on to encourage China to move away from government engineered growth and allow for more competition and entrepreneurship.

For the last three decades Chinas growth averaged around 10% annually. Much of this tremendous growth is explained by its rural population moving into the cities and taking on unskilled manufacturing jobs. While this growth is impressive, estimates by UNICEF on the number of people living on less than $2 per day was 468 million, or 36% of the population (2009 figures).

The real question lies in just how big Chinas growth potential is, and just how long it will continue to rise. Even now the evidence is mounting that Chinas property market is suffering with numerous developments standing empty, and a reported decline in real estate prices in 52 of 70 cities across China. A reason may be a misalignment between a demographic consisting largely of
labourers and the heavy investment into high-end real estate.

At the same time, the economic sense behind the massive infrastructure projects such as the high-speed rail links are going to have to start proving themselves by showing a payback on investment. Robert Zoellick, President of the World Bank Group, summarised the situation in a statement: Chinas leaders have recognised that the countrys growth model, which has been so successful for the past 30 years, will need to be changed to accommodate new challenges. 

Oscar Wendel is the conference manager for Construction Week.